Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 16:30 • MerKur Kunstrasenplatz
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.93 (league 2.03) 0.57 (league 1.75)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.3% 2.7% 0.9%
best score tips
4 - 0
10.1%
5 - 0
9.9%
3 - 0
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Düren Merzenich
0 1 2 3 4 5
SSV Merten 0 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.0% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.2% 4.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.1% 5.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 9.9% 5.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSSV MertenDüren Merzenich
Played44
Form58%50%
Attack39%50%
Defense78%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.89 | 2.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 19 | 2.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

82%
FT probability

3.5+

59%
FT probability

BTTS

84%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SSV Merten Düren Merzenich
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins100%0%50%100%0%50%
Draws0%50%25%0%0%0%
Loses0%50%25%0%100%50%

Form: SSV Merten: WLWD • Düren Merzenich: LWLW

League goals

Metric SSV Merten Düren Merzenich
HATHAT
GF total527549
GF avg2.51.01.82.52.02.3
GA total134189
GA avg0.51.51.00.54.02.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSSV MertenDüren Merzenich
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%100%75%
1.575%25%75%50%
2.525%0%50%50%
3.50%0%0%50%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSSV MertenDüren Merzenich
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricSSV MertenDüren Merzenich
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSSV MertenDüren Merzenich
Wins11
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-03-1
Biggest losses1-04-1
Goals For3233
Goals Against1214

Model comparison

MetricSSV MertenDüren Merzenich
Form54%46%
Att44%56%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution91%9%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total64.5%35.5%

Advice: Combo Winner : SSV Merten and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): SSV Merten = 4.93 (league 2.03), Düren Merzenich = 0.57 (league 1.75)

Düren Merzenich
0 1 2 3 4 5
SSV Merten 0 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.0% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.2% 4.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.1% 5.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 9.9% 5.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.3% · Draw 2.7% · Away win 0.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1