Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 16:00 • Stadion im Sportzentrum Hennef
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.61 (league 2.05) 2.12 (league 1.77)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.4% 18.1% 70.4%
best score tips
0 - 2
14.7%
0 - 1
13.8%
0 - 3
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Pesch
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hennef 05 0 6.5% 13.8% 14.7% 10.4% 5.5% 2.3%
1 4.0% 8.4% 8.9% 6.3% 3.3% 1.4%
2 1.2% 2.6% 2.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4%
3 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHennef 05Pesch
Played44
Form8%8%
Attack11%22%
Defense39%39%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.54 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.811 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hennef 05 Pesch
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins0%0%0%0%0%0%
Draws50%0%25%0%50%25%
Loses50%100%75%100%50%75%

Form: Hennef 05: DLLL • Pesch: LLDL

League goals

Metric Hennef 05 Pesch
HATHAT
GF total112134
GF avg0.50.50.50.51.51.0
GA total56116511
GA avg2.53.02.83.02.52.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHennef 05Pesch
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%75%100%
1.50%75%25%75%
2.50%50%0%50%
3.50%50%0%25%
4.50%0%0%25%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHennef 05Pesch
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricHennef 05Pesch
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricHennef 05Pesch
Wins00
Draws11
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins————
Biggest losses0-44-11-53-1
Goals For1112
Goals Against4453

Model comparison

MetricHennef 05Pesch
Form50%50%
Att33%67%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution24%76%
H2h71%29%
Goals68%32%
Total49.3%50.7%

Advice: Double chance : Hennef 05 or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hennef 05 = 0.61 (league 2.05), Pesch = 2.12 (league 1.77)

Pesch
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hennef 05 0 6.5% 13.8% 14.7% 10.4% 5.5% 2.3%
1 4.0% 8.4% 8.9% 6.3% 3.3% 1.4%
2 1.2% 2.6% 2.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4%
3 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.4% · Draw 18.1% · Away win 70.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1