Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 13:45 •
Kunstrasenplatz Helmut-Kusserow-Sportanlage
Expected Goals
0.36 (league 2.08)
1.68 (league 1.78)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 7.4% | 22.1% | 69.8% |
best score tips
0 - 1
21.8%
0 - 2
18.4%
0 - 0
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
| SSV Merten | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pesch | 0 | 12.9% | 21.8% | 18.4% | 10.3% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| 1 | 4.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Pesch | SSV Merten |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 67% |
| Attack | 30% | 50% |
| Defense | 25% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
94%
FT probability
2.5+
66%
FT probability
3.5+
47%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Pesch | SSV Merten | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 60% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 20% | 0% | 50% | 20% |
| Loses | 100% | 67% | 80% | 0% | 50% | 20% |
Form: Pesch: LLDLL • SSV Merten: WLWDW
League goals
| Metric | Pesch | SSV Merten | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 6 | 9 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GA avg | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Pesch | SSV Merten | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 100% | 80% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 80% | 80% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 60% | 40% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 40% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Pesch | SSV Merten | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Pesch | SSV Merten |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Pesch | SSV Merten |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 3-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 4-2 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Pesch | SSV Merten |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 9% | 91% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 22% | 78% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 38% | 63% |
| Total | 30.3% | 70.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or SSV Merten
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Pesch = 0.36 (league 2.08), SSV Merten = 1.68 (league 1.78)
| SSV Merten | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pesch | 0 | 12.9% | 21.8% | 18.4% | 10.3% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| 1 | 4.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.4% · Draw 22.1% · Away win 69.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1