Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 13:00 •
BELKAW-Arena
Expected Goals
4.86 (league 2.06)
0.96 (league 1.78)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 57.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
best score tips
4 - 0
6.9%
5 - 0
6.7%
4 - 1
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Düren Merzenich | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bergisch Gladbach | 0 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.7% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.9% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.7% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bergisch Gladbach | Düren Merzenich |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 60% |
| Attack | 69% | 85% |
| Defense | 69% | 15% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
84%
FT probability
3.5+
60%
FT probability
BTTS
87%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bergisch Gladbach | Düren Merzenich | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 67% | 67% | 67% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| Draws | 33% | 33% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
Form: Bergisch Gladbach: WWWDDW • Düren Merzenich: LWLWLW
League goals
| Metric | Bergisch Gladbach | Düren Merzenich | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 5 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| GF avg | 2.7 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 2.3 |
| GA total | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 15 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 3.7 | 2.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bergisch Gladbach | Düren Merzenich | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 50% | 100% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 83% | 17% | 67% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 0% | 50% | 67% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 0% | 17% | 33% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bergisch Gladbach | Düren Merzenich | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bergisch Gladbach | Düren Merzenich |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bergisch Gladbach | Düren Merzenich |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-2 | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bergisch Gladbach | Düren Merzenich |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 73% | 27% |
| Poisson Distribution | 85% | 15% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 59.7% | 40.3% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Bergisch Gladbach and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Bergisch Gladbach = 4.86 (league 2.06), Düren Merzenich = 0.96 (league 1.78)
| Düren Merzenich | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bergisch Gladbach | 0 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.7% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.9% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.7% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.3% · Draw 4.4% · Away win 2.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1