Sun, Mar 29 2026 • 13:00 • MerKur Kunstrasenplatz
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.53 (league 1.95) 0.63 (league 1.73)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.4% 3.9% 1.5%
best score tips
4 - 0
10.0%
5 - 0
9.1%
3 - 0
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Pesch
0 1 2 3 4 5
SSV Merten 0 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.9% 3.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.9% 5.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 10.0% 6.4% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 9.1% 5.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSSV MertenPesch
Played55
Form47%20%
Attack20%20%
Defense87%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.820 | 4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

84%
FT probability

3.5+

60%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SSV Merten Pesch
HATHAT
Played91120101020
Wins67%45%55%20%0%10%
Draws0%27%15%0%20%10%
Loses33%27%30%80%80%80%

Form: SSV Merten: WLWDWLWWWLDLWWWDWLLW • Pesch: LLDLLWLLLLDLLLLLLLLW

League goals

Metric SSV Merten Pesch
HATHAT
GF total161733131124
GF avg1.81.51.71.31.11.2
GA total9716364985
GA avg1.00.60.83.64.94.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSSV MertenPesch
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%60%65%90%
1.550%20%30%80%
2.530%0%10%75%
3.55%0%5%55%
4.50%0%5%50%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSSV MertenPesch
HATHAT
Clean sheets268112
Failed to score134347

Penalties

MetricSSV MertenPesch
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSSV MertenPesch
Wins31
Draws11
Losses28

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-46-3—
Biggest losses1-22-11-612-1
Goals For3463
Goals Against22612

Model comparison

MetricSSV MertenPesch
Form70%30%
Att50%50%
Def83%17%
Poisson Distribution88%12%
H2h33%67%
Goals56%44%
Total63.3%36.7%

Advice: Combo Winner : SSV Merten and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): SSV Merten = 4.53 (league 1.95), Pesch = 0.63 (league 1.73)

Pesch
0 1 2 3 4 5
SSV Merten 0 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.9% 3.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.9% 5.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 10.0% 6.4% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 9.1% 5.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.4% · Draw 3.9% · Away win 1.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1