Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 16:00 •
Stade Adolphe-Chéron
Expected Goals
1.61 (league 1.43)
0.79 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 56.2% | 24.9% | 18.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.6%
2 - 0
11.7%
1 - 1
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Toulon | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| St Maur Lusitanos | 0 | 9.1% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.6% | 11.6% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.7% | 9.3% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | St Maur Lusitanos | Toulon |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 47% |
| Attack | 55% | 55% |
| Defense | 91% | 27% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | St Maur Lusitanos | Toulon | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 33% | 100% | 67% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Draws | 67% | 0% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Form: St Maur Lusitanos: DWWWDW • Toulon: DWLLWD
League goals
| Metric | St Maur Lusitanos | Toulon | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | St Maur Lusitanos | Toulon | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 33% | 83% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | St Maur Lusitanos | Toulon | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | St Maur Lusitanos | Toulon |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | St Maur Lusitanos | Toulon |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-1 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | St Maur Lusitanos | Toulon |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 65% | 35% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 89% | 11% |
| Poisson Distribution | 70% | 30% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 68.5% | 31.5% |
Advice: Double chance : St Maur Lusitanos or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): St Maur Lusitanos = 1.61 (league 1.43), Toulon = 0.79 (league 1.15)
| Toulon | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| St Maur Lusitanos | 0 | 9.1% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.6% | 11.6% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.7% | 9.3% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.2% · Draw 24.9% · Away win 18.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1