Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 17:00 • Stade Adolphe-Chéron
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.42) 0.91 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.2% 32.1% 32.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
15.4%
1 - 0
14.8%
0 - 1
14.0%
Score & goals probability table
Grasse
0 1 2 3 4 5
St Maur Lusitanos 0 15.4% 14.0% 6.4% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.8% 13.5% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.1% 6.5% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.3% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSt Maur LusitanosGrasse
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack40%100%
Defense70%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric St Maur Lusitanos Grasse
HATHAT
Played448538
Wins25%75%50%20%33%25%
Draws50%0%25%40%0%25%
Loses25%25%25%40%67%50%

Form: St Maur Lusitanos: DWWWDWLL • Grasse: LLDLWDLW

League goals

Metric St Maur Lusitanos Grasse
HATHAT
GF total3477411
GF avg0.81.00.91.41.31.4
GA total3147512
GA avg0.80.30.51.41.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSt Maur LusitanosGrasse
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%50%63%63%
1.513%0%50%50%
2.50%0%25%25%
3.50%0%0%13%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSt Maur LusitanosGrasse
HATHAT
Clean sheets134213
Failed to score112213

Penalties

MetricSt Maur LusitanosGrasse
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSt Maur LusitanosGrasse
Wins31
Draws11
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-23-10-2
Biggest losses0-11-03-42-0
Goals For1232
Goals Against1143

Model comparison

MetricSt Maur LusitanosGrasse
Form50%50%
Att29%71%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total51.0%49.0%

Advice: Double chance : St Maur Lusitanos or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): St Maur Lusitanos = 0.96 (league 1.42), Grasse = 0.91 (league 1.14)

Grasse
0 1 2 3 4 5
St Maur Lusitanos 0 15.4% 14.0% 6.4% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.8% 13.5% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.1% 6.5% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.3% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.2% · Draw 32.1% · Away win 32.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1