Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 17:00 •
Stade Parsemain
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.43)
0.71 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 54.8% | 26.7% | 18.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.7%
2 - 0
12.2%
1 - 1
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Toulon | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Istres | 0 | 11.5% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.7% | 11.8% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.2% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Istres | Toulon |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 53% |
| Attack | 52% | 24% |
| Defense | 67% | 90% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Istres | Toulon | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 25% | 50% | 40% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Draws | 50% | 17% | 30% | 40% | 20% | 30% |
| Loses | 25% | 33% | 30% | 20% | 40% | 30% |
Form: Istres: LWLDDDWWLW • Toulon: DWLLWDWDLW
League goals
| Metric | Istres | Toulon | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 12 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 3 | 9 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 10 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Istres | Toulon | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 90% | 70% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 20% | 30% | 10% |
| 2.5 | 30% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 30% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Istres | Toulon | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Istres | Toulon |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Istres | Toulon |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-4 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Istres | Toulon |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 69% | 31% |
| Def | 22% | 78% |
| Poisson Distribution | 69% | 31% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 52.7% | 47.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Istres or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Istres = 1.46 (league 1.43), Toulon = 0.71 (league 1.13)
| Toulon | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Istres | 0 | 11.5% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.7% | 11.8% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.2% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.8% · Draw 26.7% · Away win 18.1%
Vtot 6 , Vtod1