Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 17:00 • Stade de Bon-Rencontre
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.55 (league 1.42) 1.20 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.0% 25.1% 29.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.9%
1 - 0
9.9%
2 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Saint-Priest
0 1 2 3 4 5
Toulon 0 6.4% 7.7% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 9.9% 11.9% 7.1% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.7% 9.2% 5.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.0% 4.8% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.5% 1.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricToulonSaint-Priest
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack47%47%
Defense41%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Toulon Saint-Priest
HATHAT
Played77148614
Wins29%29%29%13%50%29%
Draws43%29%36%38%17%29%
Loses29%43%36%50%33%43%

Form: Toulon: DWLLWDWDLWLLDD • Saint-Priest: LWLWDWLLDLLWDD

League goals

Metric Toulon Saint-Priest
HATHAT
GF total97168917
GF avg1.31.01.11.01.51.2
GA total61420111021
GA avg0.92.01.41.41.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineToulonSaint-Priest
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%71%71%86%
1.536%29%21%43%
2.57%21%21%21%
3.50%14%7%0%
4.50%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricToulonSaint-Priest
HATHAT
Clean sheets314112
Failed to score224224

Penalties

MetricToulonSaint-Priest
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricToulonSaint-Priest
Wins11
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-21-03-4
Biggest losses2-35-11-23-0
Goals For3234
Goals Against3533

Model comparison

MetricToulonSaint-Priest
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h71%29%
Goals59%41%
Total56.2%43.8%

Advice: Double chance : Toulon or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Toulon = 1.55 (league 1.42), Saint-Priest = 1.20 (league 1.13)

Saint-Priest
0 1 2 3 4 5
Toulon 0 6.4% 7.7% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 9.9% 11.9% 7.1% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.7% 9.2% 5.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.0% 4.8% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.5% 1.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.0% · Draw 25.1% · Away win 29.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1