Fri, Jan 23 2026 • 18:30 •
Stade Dominique Duvauchelle
Expected Goals
2.01 (league 1.43)
2.88 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 24.8% | 17.3% | 49.1% |
best score tips
2 - 2
6.3%
1 - 2
6.3%
2 - 3
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Fréjus St-Raphaël | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Creteil | 0 | 0.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 1.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.5% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Creteil | Fréjus St-Raphaël |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 33% |
| Attack | 29% | 57% |
| Defense | 57% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
94%
FT probability
2.5+
66%
FT probability
3.5+
47%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Creteil | Fréjus St-Raphaël | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| Wins | 33% | 14% | 23% | 29% | 38% | 33% |
| Draws | 33% | 14% | 23% | 0% | 50% | 27% |
| Loses | 33% | 71% | 54% | 71% | 13% | 40% |
Form: Creteil: DLWDLLLWWLLDL • Fréjus St-Raphaël: WWLWDLWLDLWLDDL
League goals
| Metric | Creteil | Fréjus St-Raphaël | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 6 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 24 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 11 | 9 | 20 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Creteil | Fréjus St-Raphaël | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 46% | 92% | 80% | 93% |
| 1.5 | 23% | 38% | 53% | 53% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 15% | 27% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 23% | 8% | 0% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 15% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Creteil | Fréjus St-Raphaël | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Creteil | Fréjus St-Raphaël |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Creteil | Fréjus St-Raphaël |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-4 | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 2-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Creteil | Fréjus St-Raphaël |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 45% | 55% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 69% | 31% |
| Total | 50.2% | 49.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Creteil or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Creteil = 2.01 (league 1.43), Fréjus St-Raphaël = 2.88 (league 1.13)
| Fréjus St-Raphaël | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Creteil | 0 | 0.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 1.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.5% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.8% · Draw 17.3% · Away win 49.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1