Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 17:00 • Stade de Bon-Rencontre
Match Finished
1 - 2
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 1.44) 0.80 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.9% 32.8% 28.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
16.7%
1 - 0
16.6%
0 - 1
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Creteil
0 1 2 3 4 5
Toulon 0 16.7% 13.3% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.6% 13.2% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 8.2% 6.6% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.7% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricToulonCreteil
Played55
Form13%47%
Attack35%20%
Defense50%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Toulon Creteil
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins25%25%25%38%25%31%
Draws38%25%31%25%13%19%
Loses38%50%44%38%63%50%

Form: Toulon: DWLLWDWDLWLLDDLL • Creteil: DLWDLLLWWLLDLWWL

League goals

Metric Toulon Creteil
HATHAT
GF total1081814721
GF avg1.31.01.11.80.91.3
GA total8162413922
GA avg1.02.01.51.61.11.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineToulonCreteil
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%56%81%
1.531%38%25%38%
2.56%19%19%13%
3.50%13%19%6%
4.50%6%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricToulonCreteil
HATHAT
Clean sheets314213
Failed to score224347

Penalties

MetricToulonCreteil
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricToulonCreteil
Wins12
Draws21
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-25-11-4
Biggest losses2-35-10-32-0
Goals For3254
Goals Against3542

Model comparison

MetricToulonCreteil
Form22%78%
Att64%36%
Def23%77%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h13%88%
Goals27%73%
Total34.7%65.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Creteil

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Toulon = 0.99 (league 1.44), Creteil = 0.80 (league 1.13)

Creteil
0 1 2 3 4 5
Toulon 0 16.7% 13.3% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.6% 13.2% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 8.2% 6.6% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.7% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.9% · Draw 32.8% · Away win 28.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1