Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 17:00 • Stade Adolphe-Chéron
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.38 (league 1.43) 0.68 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.5% 27.8% 18.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.6%
0 - 0
12.7%
2 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Limonest
0 1 2 3 4 5
St Maur Lusitanos 0 12.7% 8.7% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.6% 12.0% 4.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.1% 8.3% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.6% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSt Maur LusitanosLimonest
Played55
Form73%33%
Attack70%50%
Defense70%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric St Maur Lusitanos Limonest
HATHAT
Played98178917
Wins44%75%59%13%22%18%
Draws44%13%29%38%33%35%
Loses11%13%12%50%44%47%

Form: St Maur Lusitanos: DWWWDWLLWWWDDDWWW • Limonest: LDLLDDWLDLLWWLLDD

League goals

Metric St Maur Lusitanos Limonest
HATHAT
GF total10112141014
GF avg1.11.41.20.51.10.8
GA total628101626
GA avg0.70.30.51.31.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSt Maur LusitanosLimonest
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%47%65%82%
1.529%0%12%47%
2.56%0%6%18%
3.50%0%0%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSt Maur LusitanosLimonest
HATHAT
Clean sheets369213
Failed to score112426

Penalties

MetricSt Maur LusitanosLimonest
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSt Maur LusitanosLimonest
Wins32
Draws32
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-31-02-3
Biggest losses0-11-01-43-0
Goals For2313
Goals Against1143

Model comparison

MetricSt Maur LusitanosLimonest
Form69%31%
Att58%42%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total66.8%33.3%

Advice: Double chance : St Maur Lusitanos or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): St Maur Lusitanos = 1.38 (league 1.43), Limonest = 0.68 (league 1.13)

Limonest
0 1 2 3 4 5
St Maur Lusitanos 0 12.7% 8.7% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.6% 12.0% 4.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.1% 8.3% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.6% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.5% · Draw 27.8% · Away win 18.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1