Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 17:00 • Stade Ludovic Giuly
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.66 (league 1.43) 1.98 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.1% 21.5% 44.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
8.6%
1 - 2
8.5%
2 - 1
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
Fréjus St-Raphaël
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chasselay MDA 0 2.6% 5.2% 5.1% 3.4% 1.7% 0.7%
1 4.4% 8.6% 8.5% 5.6% 2.8% 1.1%
2 3.6% 7.2% 7.1% 4.7% 2.3% 0.9%
3 2.0% 4.0% 3.9% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5%
4 0.8% 1.6% 1.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChasselay MDAFréjus St-Raphaël
Played55
Form13%13%
Attack40%50%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chasselay MDA Fréjus St-Raphaël
HATHAT
Played98178917
Wins56%25%41%25%33%29%
Draws22%25%24%0%44%24%
Loses22%50%35%75%22%47%

Form: Chasselay MDA: WDWLLWWLWWWDLLLDD • Fréjus St-Raphaël: WWLWDLWLDLWLDDLLL

League goals

Metric Chasselay MDA Fréjus St-Raphaël
HATHAT
GF total131225101424
GF avg1.41.51.51.31.61.4
GA total131629161531
GA avg1.42.01.72.01.71.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChasselay MDAFréjus St-Raphaël
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%71%71%94%
1.541%47%47%59%
2.518%29%24%24%
3.56%12%0%6%
4.50%12%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChasselay MDAFréjus St-Raphaël
HATHAT
Clean sheets325011
Failed to score123325

Penalties

MetricChasselay MDAFréjus St-Raphaël
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricChasselay MDAFréjus St-Raphaël
Wins32
Draws12
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-33-10-2
Biggest losses0-53-01-33-0
Goals For3433
Goals Against5543

Model comparison

MetricChasselay MDAFréjus St-Raphaël
Form50%50%
Att44%56%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total47.5%52.5%

Advice: No predictions available

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.63 @ Betfair
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away2.90 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.78 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Superbet
No2.00 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chasselay MDA = 1.66 (league 1.43), Fréjus St-Raphaël = 1.98 (league 1.13)

Fréjus St-Raphaël
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chasselay MDA 0 2.6% 5.2% 5.1% 3.4% 1.7% 0.7%
1 4.4% 8.6% 8.5% 5.6% 2.8% 1.1%
2 3.6% 7.2% 7.1% 4.7% 2.3% 0.9%
3 2.0% 4.0% 3.9% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5%
4 0.8% 1.6% 1.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.1% · Draw 21.5% · Away win 44.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1