Sat, Feb 21 2026 • 17:00 •
Stade de Bon-Rencontre
Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.45)
1.40 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 42.9% | 23.8% | 32.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.9%
2 - 1
9.0%
1 - 0
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Chasselay MDA | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Toulon | 0 | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 6.4% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Toulon | Chasselay MDA |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 13% |
| Attack | 38% | 19% |
| Defense | 38% | 19% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Toulon | Chasselay MDA | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| Wins | 22% | 22% | 22% | 50% | 25% | 39% |
| Draws | 33% | 22% | 28% | 20% | 25% | 22% |
| Loses | 44% | 56% | 50% | 30% | 50% | 39% |
ToulonDWLLWDWDLWLLDDLLLL
Chasselay MDAWDWLLWWLWWWDLLLDDL
League goals
| Metric | Toulon | Chasselay MDA | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 10 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 10 | 19 | 29 | 15 | 16 | 31 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Toulon | Chasselay MDA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 78% | 78% | 72% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 44% | 39% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 22% | 17% | 28% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 11% | 6% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 11% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Toulon | Chasselay MDA | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Toulon | Chasselay MDA |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Toulon | Chasselay MDA |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 5-1 | 0-5 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Toulon | Chasselay MDA |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 53% | 47% |
| Total | 54.7% | 45.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.20 @ Bet365
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away2.70 @ Bet365
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.90 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.90 @ Bet365
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League standings
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