Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 17:00 • Stades de la Paoute
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.97 (league 1.45) 1.48 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.6% 21.8% 28.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.3%
2 - 1
9.1%
1 - 2
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Chasselay MDA
0 1 2 3 4 5
Grasse 0 3.2% 4.7% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
1 6.3% 9.3% 6.9% 3.4% 1.2% 0.4%
2 6.2% 9.1% 6.7% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4%
3 4.0% 6.0% 4.4% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
4 2.0% 2.9% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGrasseChasselay MDA
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack33%33%
Defense50%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Grasse Chasselay MDA
HATHAT
Played10102011920
Wins30%20%25%45%22%35%
Draws50%20%35%27%33%30%
Loses20%60%40%27%44%35%

Form: Grasse: LLDLWDLWLDLDDWWWLDDL • Chasselay MDA: WDWLLWWLWWWDLLLDDLDD

League goals

Metric Grasse Chasselay MDA
HATHAT
GF total15823131326
GF avg1.50.81.21.21.41.3
GA total121426151732
GA avg1.21.41.31.41.91.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGrasseChasselay MDA
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%70%75%70%
1.540%40%35%45%
2.515%15%15%25%
3.50%5%5%10%
4.50%0%0%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGrasseChasselay MDA
HATHAT
Clean sheets336426
Failed to score358325

Penalties

MetricGrasseChasselay MDA
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricGrasseChasselay MDA
Wins33
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-22-01-3
Biggest losses3-43-10-53-0
Goals For3234
Goals Against4355

Model comparison

MetricGrasseChasselay MDA
Form56%44%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h62%38%
Goals64%36%
Total56.7%43.3%

Advice: Double chance : Grasse or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.18 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away3.16 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ William Hill
No1.84 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Grasse = 1.97 (league 1.45), Chasselay MDA = 1.48 (league 1.14)

Chasselay MDA
0 1 2 3 4 5
Grasse 0 3.2% 4.7% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
1 6.3% 9.3% 6.9% 3.4% 1.2% 0.4%
2 6.2% 9.1% 6.7% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4%
3 4.0% 6.0% 4.4% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
4 2.0% 2.9% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.6% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 28.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1