Sat, Mar 28 2026 • 17:00 •
Stades de la Paoute
Expected Goals
0.42 (league 1.44)
1.37 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 11.2% | 27.8% | 60.7% |
best score tips
0 - 1
23.0%
0 - 0
16.8%
0 - 2
15.7%
Score & goals probability table
| St Maur Lusitanos | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Grasse | 0 | 16.8% | 23.0% | 15.7% | 7.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 7.0% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Grasse | St Maur Lusitanos |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 40% |
| Attack | 44% | 38% |
| Defense | 56% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Grasse | St Maur Lusitanos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 22 |
| Wins | 27% | 27% | 27% | 42% | 60% | 50% |
| Draws | 45% | 18% | 32% | 50% | 20% | 36% |
| Loses | 27% | 55% | 41% | 8% | 20% | 14% |
Form: Grasse: LLDLWDLWLDLDDWWWLDDLLW • St Maur Lusitanos: DWWWDWLLWWWDDDWWWWLDDD
League goals
| Metric | Grasse | St Maur Lusitanos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 13 | 29 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 14 | 16 | 30 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Grasse | St Maur Lusitanos | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 73% | 86% | 59% |
| 1.5 | 41% | 45% | 27% | 5% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 14% | 9% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Grasse | St Maur Lusitanos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Grasse | St Maur Lusitanos |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Grasse | St Maur Lusitanos |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 2-5 | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 3-4 | 3-1 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Grasse | St Maur Lusitanos |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45% | 55% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 46% | 54% |
| Poisson Distribution | 24% | 76% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 42.3% | 57.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or St Maur Lusitanos
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Grasse = 0.42 (league 1.44), St Maur Lusitanos = 1.37 (league 1.14)
| St Maur Lusitanos | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Grasse | 0 | 16.8% | 23.0% | 15.7% | 7.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 7.0% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.2% · Draw 27.8% · Away win 60.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1