Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 16:00 • Stade Adolphe-Chéron
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 1.45) 0.77 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.3% 33.0% 27.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
17.2%
1 - 0
17.0%
0 - 1
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Creteil
0 1 2 3 4 5
St Maur Lusitanos 0 17.2% 13.3% 5.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
1 17.0% 13.1% 5.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 8.4% 6.5% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.8% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSt Maur LusitanosCreteil
Played55
Form20%60%
Attack29%43%
Defense57%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric St Maur Lusitanos Creteil
HATHAT
Played121123121123
Wins42%55%48%42%36%39%
Draws50%18%35%33%18%26%
Loses8%27%17%25%45%35%

Form: St Maur Lusitanos: DWWWDWLLWWWDDDWWWWLDDDL • Creteil: DLWDLLLWWLLDLWWLWWDWDWD

League goals

Metric St Maur Lusitanos Creteil
HATHAT
GF total151328191231
GF avg1.31.21.21.61.11.3
GA total10616151227
GA avg0.80.50.71.31.11.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSt Maur LusitanosCreteil
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%61%65%78%
1.526%9%35%26%
2.59%0%13%9%
3.50%0%13%4%
4.50%0%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSt Maur LusitanosCreteil
HATHAT
Clean sheets369415
Failed to score123448

Penalties

MetricSt Maur LusitanosCreteil
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSt Maur LusitanosCreteil
Wins42
Draws31
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-35-11-4
Biggest losses0-12-10-32-0
Goals For3354
Goals Against2242

Model comparison

MetricSt Maur LusitanosCreteil
Form25%75%
Att40%60%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h38%62%
Goals50%50%
Total41.5%58.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Creteil and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): St Maur Lusitanos = 0.99 (league 1.45), Creteil = 0.77 (league 1.14)

Creteil
0 1 2 3 4 5
St Maur Lusitanos 0 17.2% 13.3% 5.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
1 17.0% 13.1% 5.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 8.4% 6.5% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.8% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.3% · Draw 33.0% · Away win 27.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1