Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 16:00 •
Stade de Bon-Rencontre
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.45)
1.68 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 28.5% | 24.0% | 46.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.2%
1 - 2
9.4%
0 - 1
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Istres | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Toulon | 0 | 5.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 6.7% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Toulon | Istres |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 27% |
| Attack | 60% | 47% |
| Defense | 33% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Toulon | Istres | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 25% | 25% | 25% | 33% | 50% | 42% |
| Draws | 42% | 17% | 29% | 33% | 25% | 29% |
| Loses | 33% | 58% | 46% | 33% | 25% | 29% |
Form: Toulon: DWLLWDWDLWLLDDLLLLDWDLWL • Istres: LWLDDDWWLWWDDWWWLWDLLLDW
League goals
| Metric | Toulon | Istres | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 14 | 31 | 17 | 19 | 36 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 14 | 26 | 40 | 8 | 15 | 23 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Toulon | Istres | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 83% | 71% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 50% | 38% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 21% | 21% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 8% | 21% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Toulon | Istres | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Toulon | Istres |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Toulon | Istres |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 2-3 | 4-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 5-1 | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Toulon | Istres |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 41% | 59% |
| Poisson Distribution | 45% | 55% |
| H2h | 33% | 67% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 45.3% | 54.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Istres
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Toulon = 1.26 (league 1.45), Istres = 1.68 (league 1.14)
| Istres | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Toulon | 0 | 5.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 6.7% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.5% · Draw 24.0% · Away win 46.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1