Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 17:30 • Stade de la Colombière
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.23 (league 1.50) 1.62 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.9% 22.2% 72.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
25.4%
0 - 2
20.6%
0 - 0
15.7%
Score & goals probability table
Thionville Lusitanos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Epinal 0 15.7% 25.4% 20.6% 11.1% 4.5% 1.5%
1 3.7% 5.9% 4.8% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
2 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEpinalThionville Lusitanos
Played55
Form47%100%
Attack38%69%
Defense69%92%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.81 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

55%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Epinal Thionville Lusitanos
HATHAT
Played246336
Wins0%75%50%100%67%83%
Draws0%25%17%0%0%0%
Loses100%0%33%0%33%17%

Form: Epinal: WDLWLW • Thionville Lusitanos: LWWWWW

League goals

Metric Epinal Thionville Lusitanos
HATHAT
GF total156639
GF avg0.51.31.02.01.01.5
GA total404022
GA avg2.00.00.70.00.70.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEpinalThionville Lusitanos
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%33%83%33%
1.517%17%33%0%
2.517%17%17%0%
3.50%0%17%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEpinalThionville Lusitanos
HATHAT
Clean sheets044314
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricEpinalThionville Lusitanos
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricEpinalThionville Lusitanos
Wins10
Draws10
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-34-01-2
Biggest losses1-31-0
Goals For1342
Goals Against3001

Model comparison

MetricEpinalThionville Lusitanos
Form32%68%
Att36%64%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution15%85%
H2h80%20%
Goals60%40%
Total40.5%59.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Thionville Lusitanos and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.88 @ 1xBet
Draw3.30 @ Betano
Away2.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.69 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Superbet
No1.89 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Epinal = 0.23 (league 1.50), Thionville Lusitanos = 1.62 (league 1.24)

Thionville Lusitanos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Epinal 0 15.7% 25.4% 20.6% 11.1% 4.5% 1.5%
1 3.7% 5.9% 4.8% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
2 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.9% · Draw 22.2% · Away win 72.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1