Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 18:30 •
Stade Jacques Rimbault
Expected Goals
0.50 (league 1.44)
0.73 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 22.4% | 41.0% | 36.7% |
best score tips
0 - 0
29.3%
0 - 1
21.3%
1 - 0
14.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Thionville Lusitanos | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bourges Foot 18 | 0 | 29.3% | 21.3% | 7.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.6% | 10.7% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bourges Foot 18 | Thionville Lusitanos |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 33% |
| Attack | 20% | 30% |
| Defense | 100% | 65% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bourges Foot 18 | Thionville Lusitanos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| Wins | 67% | 33% | 50% | 67% | 75% | 71% |
| Draws | 11% | 33% | 22% | 11% | 13% | 12% |
| Loses | 22% | 33% | 28% | 22% | 13% | 18% |
Form: Bourges Foot 18: WWLWLWWWDLLLWDDWDW • Thionville Lusitanos: LWWWWWWWWWWWDWDLL
League goals
| Metric | Bourges Foot 18 | Thionville Lusitanos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 11 | 22 | 21 | 12 | 33 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 5 | 14 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bourges Foot 18 | Thionville Lusitanos | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 56% | 94% | 59% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 28% | 53% | 24% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 22% | 24% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 24% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bourges Foot 18 | Thionville Lusitanos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bourges Foot 18 | Thionville Lusitanos |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bourges Foot 18 | Thionville Lusitanos |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 11 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 2-3 | 4-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-0 | 1-3 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bourges Foot 18 | Thionville Lusitanos |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 100% | 0% |
| Poisson Distribution | 46% | 54% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 50.0% | 50.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Bourges Foot 18 or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Bourges Foot 18 = 0.50 (league 1.44), Thionville Lusitanos = 0.73 (league 1.24)
| Thionville Lusitanos | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bourges Foot 18 | 0 | 29.3% | 21.3% | 7.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.6% | 10.7% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.4% · Draw 41.0% · Away win 36.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1