Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 17:00 •
Stadium Plaine
Expected Goals
3.46 (league 1.47)
0.97 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 69.6% | 10.1% | 6.5% |
best score tips
3 - 0
8.2%
3 - 1
8.0%
4 - 0
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Bastia-Borgo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Thionville Lusitanos | 0 | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 4.1% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.1% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 8.2% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 7.1% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Thionville Lusitanos | Bastia-Borgo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 53% |
| Attack | 100% | 55% |
| Defense | 36% | 55% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 16 | 3.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
90%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Thionville Lusitanos | Bastia-Borgo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| Wins | 100% | 83% | 92% | 25% | 67% | 43% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 29% |
| Loses | 0% | 17% | 8% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
Form: Thionville Lusitanos: LWWWWWWWWWWW • Bastia-Borgo: LWWDLDLWWDWDWL
League goals
| Metric | Thionville Lusitanos | Bastia-Borgo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 9 | 27 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 5 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 18 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Thionville Lusitanos | Bastia-Borgo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 92% | 50% | 86% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 17% | 36% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 8% | 0% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Thionville Lusitanos | Bastia-Borgo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Thionville Lusitanos | Bastia-Borgo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Thionville Lusitanos | Bastia-Borgo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-2 | 1-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 2-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Thionville Lusitanos | Bastia-Borgo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 65% | 35% |
| Att | 73% | 27% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 79% | 21% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 64.8% | 35.3% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Thionville Lusitanos and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Thionville Lusitanos = 3.46 (league 1.47), Bastia-Borgo = 0.97 (league 1.23)
| Bastia-Borgo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Thionville Lusitanos | 0 | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 4.1% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.1% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 8.2% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 7.1% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.6% · Draw 10.1% · Away win 6.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1