Fri, May 1 2026 • 16:00 •
Stade de la Colombière
Expected Goals
0.71 (league 1.36)
1.71 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 15.1% | 23.5% | 60.6% |
best score tips
0 - 1
15.3%
0 - 2
13.0%
1 - 1
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Biesheim | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Epinal | 0 | 9.0% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 6.3% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home lean
Epinal carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 31 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Epinal -3.9, Biesheim +22.8.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Epinal
vs
Biesheim
Elo gapEpinal +31
Home / draw / away40% / 27% / 33%
Expected home share54%
Combined Elo2971.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2971.9
Elo home share
54%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | Epinal | Biesheim |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1483.7 | 1488.2 |
| Form Elo | 1476.8 | 1492.5 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1453.7 | 1523.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1426.5 | 1424.7 |
| Defense Elo | 1537.5 | 1525.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -3.9 | +22.8 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Epinal last-5 Elo change: -3.9; Biesheim last-5 Elo change: +22.8.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Epinal | Biesheim |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Attack | 36% | 36% |
| Defense | 27% | 82% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Epinal | Biesheim | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 23% | 43% | 33% | 29% | 46% | 37% |
| Draws | 23% | 29% | 26% | 43% | 31% | 37% |
| Loses | 54% | 29% | 41% | 29% | 23% | 26% |
EpinalWDLWLWLLLDLDWDWWWLLDDDLWLLW
BiesheimDWDWLLWDWWDWLDWLDLWLLDWDWDD
League goals
| Metric | Epinal | Biesheim | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 15 | 25 | 12 | 17 | 29 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 19 | 11 | 30 | 12 | 15 | 27 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Epinal | Biesheim | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 63% | 70% | 74% |
| 1.5 | 19% | 37% | 33% | 19% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 7% | 4% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Epinal | Biesheim | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Epinal | Biesheim |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Epinal | Biesheim |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-3 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 2-1 | 0-4 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Epinal | Biesheim |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 20% | 80% |
| Poisson Distribution | 29% | 71% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 45% | 55% |
| Total | 39.0% | 61.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…