Sat, May 2 2026 • 16:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.94 (league 1.36) 1.26 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.7% 28.6% 43.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.9%
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
St-Pryvé St-Hilaire
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chantilly 0 11.0% 13.9% 8.8% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.4% 13.1% 8.3% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 4.9% 6.2% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.5% 1.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Chantilly 0.0, St-Pryvé St-Hilaire +14.6.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone
Chantilly Elo 1454.4 · 0.0
vs
St-Pryvé St-Hilaire Elo 1485.6 · +14.6
Elo gapChantilly +4
Home / draw / away36% / 30% / 34%
Expected home share51%
Combined Elo2940
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band Thin confidence
Upset risk High
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2940
Elo home share 51%
Match tone Upset Watch
Metric Chantilly St-Pryvé St-Hilaire
Overall Elo1454.41485.6
Form Elo1442.51496.7
Home / Away Elo1442.41474.6
Attack Elo1472.61532.4
Defense Elo1498.11484.1
Last 5 Elo change0.0+14.6

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Chantilly last-5 Elo change: 0.0; St-Pryvé St-Hilaire last-5 Elo change: +14.6.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChantillySt-Pryvé St-Hilaire
Played55
Form33%53%
Attack64%100%
Defense27%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0-0
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chantilly St-Pryvé St-Hilaire
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins8%29%19%43%38%41%
Draws31%29%30%29%15%22%
Loses62%43%52%29%46%37%
ChantillyLLLWLWLDDWDLLDLWLDLLDLLWDDL
St-Pryvé St-HilaireDWWWDLLLWWLLWDDLWLLLWWDWLWD

League goals

Metric Chantilly St-Pryvé St-Hilaire
HATHAT
GF total101626251540
GF avg0.81.11.01.81.21.5
GA total162036132134
GA avg1.21.41.30.91.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChantillySt-Pryvé St-Hilaire
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%78%74%70%
1.522%37%44%37%
2.57%15%19%15%
3.50%4%7%4%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChantillySt-Pryvé St-Hilaire
HATHAT
Clean sheets336628
Failed to score549347

Penalties

MetricChantillySt-Pryvé St-Hilaire
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricChantillySt-Pryvé St-Hilaire
Wins13
Draws22
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-34-00-3
Biggest losses2-34-11-24-0
Goals For2353
Goals Against3424

Model comparison

MetricChantillySt-Pryvé St-Hilaire
Form38%62%
Att39%61%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total41.0%59.0%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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