Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 17:00 • Stade Didier Deschamps
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.92 (league 1.41) 0.85 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.5% 33.2% 31.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
17.0%
1 - 0
15.8%
0 - 1
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
Lorient II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayonne 0 17.0% 14.4% 6.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.8% 13.3% 5.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 7.3% 6.2% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.2% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBayonneLorient II
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack33%53%
Defense73%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bayonne Lorient II
HATHAT
Played347347
Wins33%50%43%33%50%43%
Draws67%0%29%33%0%14%
Loses0%50%29%33%50%43%

Form: Bayonne: WDLDLWW • Lorient II: LLLDWWW

League goals

Metric Bayonne Lorient II
HATHAT
GF total437358
GF avg1.30.81.01.01.31.1
GA total235448
GA avg0.70.80.71.31.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBayonneLorient II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%71%57%86%
1.529%0%43%29%
2.50%0%14%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBayonneLorient II
HATHAT
Clean sheets112011
Failed to score022123

Penalties

MetricBayonneLorient II
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBayonneLorient II
Wins10
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-22-10-3
Biggest losses—1-00-22-0
Goals For2223
Goals Against1122

Model comparison

MetricBayonneLorient II
Form41%59%
Att38%62%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total45.5%54.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lorient II

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ 1xBet
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away3.29 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.62 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ Marathonbet
No1.79 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Bayonne = 0.92 (league 1.41), Lorient II = 0.85 (league 1.08)

Lorient II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayonne 0 17.0% 14.4% 6.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.8% 13.3% 5.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 7.3% 6.2% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.2% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.5% · Draw 33.2% · Away win 31.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1