Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 17:00 • Stade Henri Desgrange
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.13 (league 1.41) 0.65 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.5% 18.3% 10.1%
best score tips
2 - 0
14.1%
1 - 0
13.2%
3 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Châteaubriant
0 1 2 3 4 5
La Roche VF 0 6.2% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.2% 8.6% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.1% 9.1% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.0% 6.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.3% 3.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLa Roche VFChâteaubriant
Played55
Form60%67%
Attack67%78%
Defense33%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric La Roche VF Châteaubriant
HATHAT
Played448538
Wins75%50%63%40%33%38%
Draws25%0%13%20%0%13%
Loses0%50%25%40%67%50%

Form: La Roche VF: DWWWWLWL • Châteaubriant: LLLWWWLD

League goals

Metric La Roche VF Châteaubriant
HATHAT
GF total9615628
GF avg2.31.51.91.20.71.0
GA total46108412
GA avg1.01.51.31.61.31.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLa Roche VFChâteaubriant
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%63%50%75%
1.550%38%38%63%
2.538%25%13%13%
3.525%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLa Roche VFChâteaubriant
HATHAT
Clean sheets213112
Failed to score022224

Penalties

MetricLa Roche VFChâteaubriant
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLa Roche VFChâteaubriant
Wins43
Draws10
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-43-20-2
Biggest losses3-01-32-0
Goals For4432
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricLa Roche VFChâteaubriant
Form47%53%
Att46%54%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h91%9%
Goals100%0%
Total60.6%39.4%

Advice: Double chance : La Roche VF or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ Bet365
Draw4.13 @ Pinnacle
Away4.75 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.70 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Marathonbet
No1.74 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): La Roche VF = 2.13 (league 1.41), Châteaubriant = 0.65 (league 1.08)

Châteaubriant
0 1 2 3 4 5
La Roche VF 0 6.2% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.2% 8.6% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.1% 9.1% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.0% 6.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.3% 3.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.5% · Draw 18.3% · Away win 10.1%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1