Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 17:00 • Stade des Rives du Thouet
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.49 (league 1.41) 1.39 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.4% 24.8% 35.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.6%
2 - 1
8.7%
1 - 0
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
La Roche VF
0 1 2 3 4 5
Saumur 0 5.6% 7.8% 5.4% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
1 8.3% 11.6% 8.1% 3.8% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.2% 8.7% 6.0% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
3 3.1% 4.3% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSaumurLa Roche VF
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack50%40%
Defense30%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Saumur La Roche VF
HATHAT
Played549549
Wins60%0%33%80%50%67%
Draws0%25%11%20%0%11%
Loses40%75%56%0%50%22%

Form: Saumur: LLWLLWLWD • La Roche VF: DWWWWLWLW

League goals

Metric Saumur La Roche VF
HATHAT
GF total71811617
GF avg1.40.30.92.21.51.9
GA total56115611
GA avg1.01.51.21.01.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSaumurLa Roche VF
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.544%78%78%67%
1.533%33%56%33%
2.511%11%33%22%
3.50%0%22%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSaumurLa Roche VF
HATHAT
Clean sheets112213
Failed to score235022

Penalties

MetricSaumurLa Roche VF
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSaumurLa Roche VF
Wins14
Draws01
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1—4-11-4
Biggest losses0-23-0—3-0
Goals For3144
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricSaumurLa Roche VF
Form44%56%
Att56%44%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h38%62%
Goals38%63%
Total45.0%55.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or La Roche VF

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Saumur = 1.49 (league 1.41), La Roche VF = 1.39 (league 1.08)

La Roche VF
0 1 2 3 4 5
Saumur 0 5.6% 7.8% 5.4% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
1 8.3% 11.6% 8.1% 3.8% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.2% 8.7% 6.0% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
3 3.1% 4.3% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.4% · Draw 24.8% · Away win 35.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1