Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 18:00 •
Stade Didier Deschamps
Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.42)
0.74 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 58.6% | 24.2% | 16.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.2%
2 - 0
12.5%
1 - 1
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Châteaubriant | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bayonne | 0 | 9.2% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.2% | 11.2% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.5% | 9.2% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.9% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bayonne | Châteaubriant |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 60% |
| Attack | 33% | 39% |
| Defense | 67% | 61% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
70%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bayonne | Châteaubriant | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 8 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| Wins | 67% | 50% | 57% | 50% | 33% | 43% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 14% | 13% | 0% | 7% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 29% | 38% | 67% | 50% |
Form: Bayonne: WDLDLWWWWWWLWL • Châteaubriant: LLLWWWLDLLWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Bayonne | Châteaubriant | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 7 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 6 | 8 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 21 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bayonne | Châteaubriant | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 79% | 64% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 21% | 36% | 64% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 0% | 14% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bayonne | Châteaubriant | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bayonne | Châteaubriant |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bayonne | Châteaubriant |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 2-3 | 3-2 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 1-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bayonne | Châteaubriant |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 46% | 54% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 67% | 33% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 54.3% | 45.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Bayonne or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Bayonne = 1.65 (league 1.42), Châteaubriant = 0.74 (league 1.09)
| Châteaubriant | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bayonne | 0 | 9.2% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.2% | 11.2% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.5% | 9.2% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.9% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.6% · Draw 24.2% · Away win 16.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1