Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 18:00 •
Stade Eugène Cholet 1 - Terrain Emmanuel Petit
Expected Goals
2.16 (league 1.42)
1.56 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.1% | 20.7% | 27.4% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.8%
1 - 1
8.1%
2 - 2
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Saumur | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Montlouis | 0 | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 5.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Montlouis | Saumur |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 40% |
| Attack | 56% | 44% |
| Defense | 28% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Montlouis | Saumur | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 8 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Wins | 33% | 13% | 21% | 57% | 0% | 31% |
| Draws | 17% | 25% | 21% | 0% | 50% | 23% |
| Loses | 50% | 63% | 57% | 43% | 50% | 46% |
Form: Montlouis: DLLLLWLWWLLDDL • Saumur: LLWLLWLWDLDWD
League goals
| Metric | Montlouis | Saumur | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 13 | 23 | 10 | 6 | 16 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 10 | 17 | 27 | 9 | 11 | 20 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Montlouis | Saumur | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 93% | 93% | 54% | 85% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 64% | 46% | 46% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 29% | 23% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 7% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Montlouis | Saumur | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Montlouis | Saumur |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Montlouis | Saumur |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-2 | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 3-2 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Montlouis | Saumur |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 41% | 59% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 44.5% | 55.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Saumur and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Montlouis = 2.16 (league 1.42), Saumur = 1.56 (league 1.09)
| Saumur | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Montlouis | 0 | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 5.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.1% · Draw 20.7% · Away win 27.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1