Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 17:00 • Stade Atlantique
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.38 (league 1.42) 0.32 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.9% 27.3% 8.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
25.1%
0 - 0
18.2%
2 - 0
17.3%
Score & goals probability table
Châteaubriant
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bordeaux 0 18.2% 5.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.1% 8.1% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.3% 5.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.0% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBordeauxChâteaubriant
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack45%35%
Defense70%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bordeaux Châteaubriant
HATHAT
Played88169716
Wins63%63%63%44%29%38%
Draws25%13%19%22%0%13%
Loses13%25%19%33%71%50%

Form: Bordeaux: DLWWLDWWWWWWDWLW • Châteaubriant: LLLWWWLDLLWWLWLD

League goals

Metric Bordeaux Châteaubriant
HATHAT
GF total11162712517
GF avg1.42.01.71.30.71.1
GA total4913141024
GA avg0.51.10.81.61.41.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBordeauxChâteaubriant
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%56%63%81%
1.556%25%31%63%
2.525%0%13%6%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBordeauxChâteaubriant
HATHAT
Clean sheets437123
Failed to score202336

Penalties

MetricBordeauxChâteaubriant
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBordeauxChâteaubriant
Wins63
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-33-20-2
Biggest losses0-12-11-32-0
Goals For3332
Goals Against1232

Model comparison

MetricBordeauxChâteaubriant
Form59%41%
Att56%44%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h50%50%
Goals55%45%
Total59.3%40.7%

Advice: Double chance : Bordeaux or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.44 @ Bet365
Draw4.50 @ Unibet
Away8.15 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.02 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Superbet
No1.80 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bordeaux = 1.38 (league 1.42), Châteaubriant = 0.32 (league 1.08)

Châteaubriant
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bordeaux 0 18.2% 5.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.1% 8.1% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.3% 5.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.0% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.9% · Draw 27.3% · Away win 8.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1