Wed, Mar 18 2026 • 18:30 • Stade Michel-Amand
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.72 (league 1.38) 0.61 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.9% 39.4% 26.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
26.5%
1 - 0
19.2%
0 - 1
16.0%
Score & goals probability table
Bayonne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Poitiers 0 26.5% 16.0% 4.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.2% 11.6% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.9% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPoitiersBayonne
Played55
Form13%67%
Attack27%73%
Defense45%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Poitiers Bayonne
HATHAT
Played1091991019
Wins40%11%26%67%50%58%
Draws40%22%32%33%0%16%
Loses20%67%42%0%50%26%

Form: Poitiers: WWWDDLLDDLWWLLDLLDL • Bayonne: WDLDLWWWWWWLWLWLWWD

League goals

Metric Poitiers Bayonne
HATHAT
GF total1031318826
GF avg1.00.30.72.00.81.4
GA total8172561016
GA avg0.81.91.30.71.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePoitiersBayonne
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.553%63%68%63%
1.516%37%42%21%
2.50%21%16%0%
3.50%11%5%0%
4.50%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPoitiersBayonne
HATHAT
Clean sheets527437
Failed to score369156

Penalties

MetricPoitiersBayonne
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPoitiersBayonne
Wins36
Draws21
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-15-02-3
Biggest losses0-34-0—2-0
Goals For2153
Goals Against3422

Model comparison

MetricPoitiersBayonne
Form17%83%
Att27%73%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h38%62%
Goals40%60%
Total33.2%66.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Bayonne and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.49 @ 1xBet
Draw3.35 @ Betano
Away1.85 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.09 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Poitiers = 0.72 (league 1.38), Bayonne = 0.61 (league 1.06)

Bayonne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Poitiers 0 26.5% 16.0% 4.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.2% 11.6% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.9% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.9% · Draw 39.4% · Away win 26.7%

vtt 2 , vtd1