Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 17:00 •
Stade des Rives du Thouet
Expected Goals
1.33 (league 1.41)
2.15 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 22.9% | 20.5% | 54.1% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.5%
1 - 1
8.8%
0 - 2
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Bordeaux | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Saumur | 0 | 3.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 4.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% | |
| 2 | 2.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Saumur | Bordeaux |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 67% |
| Attack | 48% | 43% |
| Defense | 52% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
82%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Saumur | Bordeaux | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| Wins | 56% | 0% | 29% | 67% | 63% | 65% |
| Draws | 11% | 50% | 29% | 22% | 13% | 18% |
| Loses | 33% | 50% | 41% | 11% | 25% | 18% |
SaumurLLWLLWLWDLDWDDWDL
BordeauxDLWWLDWWWWWWDWLWW
League goals
| Metric | Saumur | Bordeaux | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 9 | 24 | 13 | 16 | 29 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 11 | 17 | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Saumur | Bordeaux | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 65% | 82% | 88% | 59% |
| 1.5 | 53% | 47% | 59% | 24% |
| 2.5 | 24% | 24% | 24% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Saumur | Bordeaux | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Saumur | Bordeaux |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Saumur | Bordeaux |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | — | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 5-2 | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Saumur | Bordeaux |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 41% | 59% |
| Poisson Distribution | 34% | 66% |
| H2h | 33% | 67% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 40.3% | 59.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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