Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 17:00 •
Stade Louis-Dior
Expected Goals
0.85 (league 1.42)
1.11 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.5% | 30.9% | 41.5% |
best score tips
0 - 1
15.7%
0 - 0
14.1%
1 - 1
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Châteaubriant | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Granville | 0 | 14.1% | 15.7% | 8.7% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.0% | 13.3% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Granville | Châteaubriant |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 27% |
| Attack | 33% | 29% |
| Defense | 48% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
70%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Granville | Châteaubriant | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| Wins | 13% | 11% | 12% | 44% | 25% | 35% |
| Draws | 13% | 22% | 18% | 22% | 0% | 12% |
| Loses | 75% | 67% | 71% | 33% | 75% | 53% |
Form: Granville: DWWLLLLLLLLLLDLLD • Châteaubriant: LLLWWWLDLLWWLWLDL
League goals
| Metric | Granville | Châteaubriant | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 9 | 15 | 12 | 6 | 18 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 12 | 17 | 29 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Granville | Châteaubriant | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 82% | 65% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 18% | 53% | 29% | 65% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 29% | 12% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Granville | Châteaubriant | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Granville | Châteaubriant |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Granville | Châteaubriant |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 10 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-1 | 3-2 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-2 | 1-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Granville | Châteaubriant |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 41% | 59% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 41.0% | 59.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Châteaubriant
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Granville = 0.85 (league 1.42), Châteaubriant = 1.11 (league 1.08)
| Châteaubriant | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Granville | 0 | 14.1% | 15.7% | 8.7% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.0% | 13.3% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.5% · Draw 30.9% · Away win 41.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1