Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 17:00 •
Stade Henri Desgrange
Expected Goals
3.90 (league 1.38)
2.04 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 51.3% | 12.6% | 14.6% |
best score tips
3 - 2
5.4%
3 - 1
5.3%
4 - 2
5.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Montlouis | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| La Roche VF | 0 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 2.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | |
| 5 | 2.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | La Roche VF | Montlouis |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 53% |
| Attack | 71% | 48% |
| Defense | 76% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
74%
FT probability
3.5+
53%
FT probability
BTTS
85%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | La Roche VF | Montlouis | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| Wins | 78% | 63% | 71% | 38% | 22% | 29% |
| Draws | 22% | 13% | 18% | 25% | 22% | 24% |
| Loses | 0% | 25% | 12% | 38% | 56% | 47% |
Form: La Roche VF: DWWWWLWLWWDDWWWWW • Montlouis: DLLLLWLWWLLDDLDWW
League goals
| Metric | La Roche VF | Montlouis | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 15 | 39 | 13 | 16 | 29 |
| GF avg | 2.7 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 11 | 9 | 20 | 12 | 18 | 30 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | La Roche VF | Montlouis | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 65% | 94% | 94% |
| 1.5 | 65% | 35% | 53% | 53% |
| 2.5 | 47% | 18% | 18% | 24% |
| 3.5 | 29% | 0% | 6% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | La Roche VF | Montlouis | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | La Roche VF | Montlouis |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | La Roche VF | Montlouis |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-4 | 4-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | La Roche VF | Montlouis |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 65% | 35% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 63% | 37% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 80% | 20% |
| Total | 66.0% | 34.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : La Roche VF or draw and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): La Roche VF = 3.90 (league 1.38), Montlouis = 2.04 (league 1.06)
| Montlouis | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| La Roche VF | 0 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 2.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | |
| 5 | 2.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.3% · Draw 12.6% · Away win 14.6%
vtt 5 , vtd1