Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 18:00 •
Stade Eugène Cholet 1 - Terrain Emmanuel Petit
Expected Goals
1.83 (league 1.40)
1.26 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.6% | 22.9% | 26.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.5%
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 0
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Chauray | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Montlouis | 0 | 4.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.3% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.6% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 4.6% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Montlouis | Chauray |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 20% |
| Attack | 64% | 14% |
| Defense | 43% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Montlouis | Chauray | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 10 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| Wins | 38% | 20% | 28% | 33% | 22% | 28% |
| Draws | 25% | 20% | 22% | 22% | 11% | 17% |
| Loses | 38% | 60% | 50% | 44% | 67% | 56% |
Form: Montlouis: DLLLLWLWWLLDDLDWWL • Chauray: DLWLWLWLLWDLDLLWLL
League goals
| Metric | Montlouis | Chauray | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 17 | 30 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 12 | 20 | 32 | 9 | 14 | 23 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Montlouis | Chauray | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 94% | 94% | 50% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 56% | 33% | 28% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 22% | 6% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 6% | 0% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Montlouis | Chauray | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Montlouis | Chauray |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Montlouis | Chauray |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-3 | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 3-2 | 0-1 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Montlouis | Chauray |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 70% | 30% |
| Att | 82% | 18% |
| Def | 38% | 62% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 56.0% | 44.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Chauray
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Montlouis = 1.83 (league 1.40), Chauray = 1.26 (league 1.07)
| Chauray | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Montlouis | 0 | 4.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.3% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.6% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 4.6% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.6% · Draw 22.9% · Away win 26.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1