Fri, Mar 6 2026 • 18:30 • Stade Municipal
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.71 (league 1.40) 0.75 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.1% 37.4% 32.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
23.3%
0 - 1
17.4%
1 - 0
16.5%
Score & goals probability table
Bayonne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chauray 0 23.3% 17.4% 6.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.5% 12.3% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 5.8% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.4% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChaurayBayonne
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack17%75%
Defense67%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chauray Bayonne
HATHAT
Played910198917
Wins33%20%26%75%44%59%
Draws22%20%21%25%0%12%
Loses44%60%53%0%56%29%

Form: Chauray: DLWLWLWLLWDLDLLWLLD • Bayonne: WDLDLWWWWWWLWLWLW

League goals

Metric Chauray Bayonne
HATHAT
GF total881618725
GF avg0.90.80.82.30.81.5
GA total9142361016
GA avg1.01.41.20.81.10.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChaurayBayonne
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.547%74%71%71%
1.532%26%47%24%
2.55%16%18%0%
3.50%5%6%0%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChaurayBayonne
HATHAT
Clean sheets235325
Failed to score5510055

Penalties

MetricChaurayBayonne
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricChaurayBayonne
Wins16
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-25-02-3
Biggest losses0-14-2—2-0
Goals For3253
Goals Against3422

Model comparison

MetricChaurayBayonne
Form31%69%
Att18%82%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total36.3%63.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Bayonne and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.85 @ 10Bet
Draw3.44 @ Pinnacle
Away2.37 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.07 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Betano
No2.00 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chauray = 0.71 (league 1.40), Bayonne = 0.75 (league 1.07)

Bayonne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chauray 0 23.3% 17.4% 6.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.5% 12.3% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 5.8% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.4% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.1% · Draw 37.4% · Away win 32.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1