Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 16:30 •
Complexe Sportif de Lautard
Expected Goals
0.64 (league 1.55)
0.81 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 26.4% | 37.2% | 36.3% |
best score tips
0 - 0
23.3%
0 - 1
18.9%
1 - 0
15.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Blagnac | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Castanet | 0 | 23.3% | 18.9% | 7.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.0% | 12.2% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Castanet | Blagnac |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 44% | 33% |
| Attack | 40% | 40% |
| Defense | 60% | 20% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.7 | 2 | 0.7 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.7 | 4 | 1.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Castanet | Blagnac | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 50% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 100% | 0% | 33% | 100% | 50% | 67% |
Form: Castanet: WLD • Blagnac: LWL
League goals
| Metric | Castanet | Blagnac | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Castanet | Blagnac | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 33% | 67% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 33% | 0% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Castanet | Blagnac | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Castanet | Blagnac |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Castanet | Blagnac |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-1 | — | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | — | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Castanet | Blagnac |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 49% | 51% |
| H2h | 64% | 36% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 57.4% | 42.6% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Castanet or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Castanet = 0.64 (league 1.55), Blagnac = 0.81 (league 1.23)
| Blagnac | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Castanet | 0 | 23.3% | 18.9% | 7.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.0% | 12.2% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.4% · Draw 37.2% · Away win 36.3%
Vtot 4 , Vtod1