Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 17:00 • Stade Du Hameau Idron 2
Match Finished
3 - 2
Expected Goals
1.63 (league 1.56) 1.09 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.4% 24.6% 25.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
1 - 0
10.8%
2 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Blagnac
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pau II 0 6.6% 7.2% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.8% 11.7% 6.4% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.8% 9.5% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.8% 5.2% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.9% 2.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPau IIBlagnac
Played45
Form42%33%
Attack23%54%
Defense69%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pau II Blagnac
HATHAT
Played224235
Wins50%0%25%0%33%20%
Draws50%50%50%50%33%40%
Loses0%50%25%50%33%40%

Form: Pau II: DDLW • Blagnac: LWLDD

League goals

Metric Pau II Blagnac
HATHAT
GF total303347
GF avg1.50.00.81.51.31.4
GA total224459
GA avg1.01.01.02.01.71.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePau IIBlagnac
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%75%80%80%
1.525%25%40%80%
2.50%0%20%20%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPau IIBlagnac
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score022011

Penalties

MetricPau IIBlagnac
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPau IIBlagnac
Wins01
Draws20
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1——0-1
Biggest losses—2-01-22-0
Goals For2023
Goals Against1223

Model comparison

MetricPau IIBlagnac
Form50%50%
Att30%70%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h36%64%
Goals40%60%
Total47.7%52.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Blagnac

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pau II = 1.63 (league 1.56), Blagnac = 1.09 (league 1.20)

Blagnac
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pau II 0 6.6% 7.2% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.8% 11.7% 6.4% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.8% 9.5% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.8% 5.2% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.9% 2.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.4% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 25.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1