Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 17:30 •
Complexe Sportif de Lautard
Expected Goals
1.29 (league 1.55)
1.42 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 33.9% | 25.7% | 39.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.2%
0 - 1
9.4%
1 - 2
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Pau II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Castanet | 0 | 6.6% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 8.6% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.5% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Castanet | Pau II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 60% |
| Attack | 39% | 39% |
| Defense | 56% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
80%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Castanet | Pau II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 33% | 43% |
| Draws | 50% | 25% | 33% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
| Loses | 50% | 25% | 33% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
Form: Castanet: WLDDLW • Pau II: DDLWWWL
League goals
| Metric | Castanet | Pau II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 5 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| GA avg | 2.5 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Castanet | Pau II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 67% | 57% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 50% | 43% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 17% | 14% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Castanet | Pau II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Castanet | Pau II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Castanet | Pau II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-2 | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Castanet | Pau II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 53% | 47% |
| H2h | 64% | 36% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 54.7% | 45.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Castanet or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Castanet = 1.29 (league 1.55), Pau II = 1.42 (league 1.23)
| Pau II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Castanet | 0 | 6.6% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 8.6% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.5% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.9% · Draw 25.7% · Away win 39.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1