Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 13:30 • Stade de la Roque 1
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 1.53) 1.23 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.2% 26.7% 34.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
1 - 0
10.3%
0 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Castanet
0 1 2 3 4 5
Onet-le-Château 0 7.9% 9.7% 6.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
1 10.3% 12.7% 7.8% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
2 6.7% 8.3% 5.1% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2%
3 2.9% 3.6% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOnet-le-ChâteauCastanet
Played55
Form27%40%
Attack50%50%
Defense17%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Onet-le-Château Castanet
HATHAT
Played459347
Wins75%0%33%0%50%29%
Draws0%40%22%67%25%43%
Loses25%60%44%33%25%29%

Form: Onet-le-Château: LWDWLWDLL • Castanet: WLDDLWD

League goals

Metric Onet-le-Château Castanet
HATHAT
GF total10212448
GF avg2.50.41.31.31.01.1
GA total6713538
GA avg1.51.41.41.70.81.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOnet-le-ChâteauCastanet
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%71%57%
1.544%56%29%43%
2.522%22%14%14%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOnet-le-ChâteauCastanet
HATHAT
Clean sheets123123
Failed to score033112

Penalties

MetricOnet-le-ChâteauCastanet
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricOnet-le-ChâteauCastanet
Wins11
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-2
Biggest losses2-33-11-22-1
Goals For3132
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricOnet-le-ChâteauCastanet
Form40%60%
Att50%50%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h25%75%
Goals38%63%
Total40.7%59.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Castanet

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Onet-le-Château = 1.31 (league 1.53), Castanet = 1.23 (league 1.22)

Castanet
0 1 2 3 4 5
Onet-le-Château 0 7.9% 9.7% 6.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
1 10.3% 12.7% 7.8% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
2 6.7% 8.3% 5.1% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2%
3 2.9% 3.6% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.2% · Draw 26.7% · Away win 34.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1