Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 17:00 •
Stade Jean Brousse
Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.53)
1.73 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 36.3% | 22.7% | 39.4% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.7%
1 - 2
8.4%
2 - 1
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Toulouse II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bassin d'Arcachon Sud | 0 | 3.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 5.6% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bassin d'Arcachon Sud | Toulouse II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 33% |
| Attack | 91% | 55% |
| Defense | 36% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bassin d'Arcachon Sud | Toulouse II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Wins | 50% | 40% | 44% | 25% | 40% | 33% |
| Draws | 25% | 40% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 22% |
| Loses | 25% | 20% | 22% | 25% | 60% | 44% |
Form: Bassin d'Arcachon Sud: DWWLDWWLD • Toulouse II: LWWLDLLDW
League goals
| Metric | Bassin d'Arcachon Sud | Toulouse II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 9 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 6 | 7 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bassin d'Arcachon Sud | Toulouse II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 89% | 89% | 67% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% | 44% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 22% | 22% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bassin d'Arcachon Sud | Toulouse II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bassin d'Arcachon Sud | Toulouse II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bassin d'Arcachon Sud | Toulouse II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-2 | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bassin d'Arcachon Sud | Toulouse II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 62% | 38% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 51% | 49% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 48.2% | 52.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Bassin d'Arcachon Sud or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Bassin d'Arcachon Sud = 1.65 (league 1.53), Toulouse II = 1.73 (league 1.22)
| Toulouse II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bassin d'Arcachon Sud | 0 | 3.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 5.6% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.3% · Draw 22.7% · Away win 39.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1