Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 17:30 • Complexe Sportif de Lautard
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.24 (league 1.42) 2.04 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.8% 15.7% 20.9%
best score tips
3 - 2
6.0%
3 - 1
5.9%
2 - 2
5.6%
Score & goals probability table
Lège-Cap-Ferret
0 1 2 3 4 5
Castanet 0 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
1 1.6% 3.4% 3.4% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5%
2 2.7% 5.4% 5.6% 3.8% 1.9% 0.8%
3 2.9% 5.9% 6.0% 4.1% 2.1% 0.9%
4 2.3% 4.8% 4.9% 3.3% 1.7% 0.7%
5 1.5% 3.1% 3.2% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCastanetLège-Cap-Ferret
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack53%53%
Defense67%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Castanet Lège-Cap-Ferret
HATHAT
Played57127613
Wins40%29%33%29%17%23%
Draws40%29%33%29%50%38%
Loses20%43%33%43%33%38%

Form: Castanet: WLDDLWDLWLWD • Lège-Cap-Ferret: LLDDLLWDDWLDW

League goals

Metric Castanet Lège-Cap-Ferret
HATHAT
GF total1061691221
GF avg2.00.91.31.32.01.6
GA total6713141428
GA avg1.21.01.12.02.32.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCastanetLège-Cap-Ferret
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%58%85%92%
1.542%33%54%62%
2.517%17%23%46%
3.58%0%0%15%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCastanetLège-Cap-Ferret
HATHAT
Clean sheets235101
Failed to score134202

Penalties

MetricCastanetLège-Cap-Ferret
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricCastanetLège-Cap-Ferret
Wins11
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-23-12-3
Biggest losses1-23-20-43-1
Goals For4233
Goals Against3343

Model comparison

MetricCastanetLège-Cap-Ferret
Form47%53%
Att50%50%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h75%25%
Goals64%36%
Total60.7%39.3%

Advice: Double chance : Castanet or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Castanet = 3.24 (league 1.42), Lège-Cap-Ferret = 2.04 (league 1.18)

Lège-Cap-Ferret
0 1 2 3 4 5
Castanet 0 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
1 1.6% 3.4% 3.4% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5%
2 2.7% 5.4% 5.6% 3.8% 1.9% 0.8%
3 2.9% 5.9% 6.0% 4.1% 2.1% 0.9%
4 2.3% 4.8% 4.9% 3.3% 1.7% 0.7%
5 1.5% 3.1% 3.2% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.8% · Draw 15.7% · Away win 20.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1