Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 17:30 •
Complexe Sportif de Lautard
Expected Goals
0.87 (league 1.47)
1.04 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.7% | 31.6% | 38.7% |
best score tips
0 - 1
15.4%
0 - 0
14.8%
1 - 1
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Tarbes | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Castanet | 0 | 14.8% | 15.4% | 8.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.9% | 13.4% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Castanet | Tarbes |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 40% |
| Attack | 15% | 77% |
| Defense | 62% | 46% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Castanet | Tarbes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 9 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 29% | 22% | 25% | 50% | 17% | 33% |
| Draws | 57% | 22% | 38% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Loses | 14% | 56% | 38% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
Form: Castanet: WLDDLWDLWLWLDLDD • Tarbes: WDWLDDWWDDLD
League goals
| Metric | Castanet | Tarbes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 7 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 20 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 7 | 11 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Castanet | Tarbes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 69% | 83% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 31% | 31% | 50% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 13% | 17% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 0% | 17% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Castanet | Tarbes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Castanet | Tarbes |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Castanet | Tarbes |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-0 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Castanet | Tarbes |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 17% | 83% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 49% | 51% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 39.3% | 60.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Tarbes
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Castanet = 0.87 (league 1.47), Tarbes = 1.04 (league 1.15)
| Tarbes | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Castanet | 0 | 14.8% | 15.4% | 8.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.9% | 13.4% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.7% · Draw 31.6% · Away win 38.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1