Alberes Argelès vs Colomiers

National 3 - Group A — France

Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 17:00 • Stade Eric Cantona

Not Started

home	draw	away
18.9%	17.4%	58.0%

		Colomiers
Alberes Argelès	0	1.7%	4.4%	5.8%	5.1%	3.4%	1.8%
1	2.4%	6.4%	8.4%	7.4%	4.9%	2.6%
2	1.7%	4.6%	6.1%	5.4%	3.6%	1.9%
3	0.8%	2.2%	3.0%	2.6%	1.7%	0.9%
4	0.3%	0.8%	1.1%	0.9%	0.6%	0.3%
5	0.1%	0.2%	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%

Away edge

Colomiers carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 83 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Alberes Argelès -21.5, Colomiers +24.6.

Medium confidence Upset risk: Medium Elo standalone

Alberes Argelès Elo 1461.9 · -21.5

Colomiers Elo 1580 · +24.6

Elo gapColomiers +83

Home / draw / away30% / 21% / 49%

Expected home share38%

Combined Elo3041.9

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Away edge

Confidence band Medium confidence

Upset risk Medium

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 3041.9

Elo home share 38%

Match tone Tactical Watch

Metric	Alberes Argelès	Colomiers
Overall Elo	1461.9	1580
Form Elo	1448.6	1604.5
Home / Away Elo	1492.2	1513.9
Attack Elo	1471.9	1546.1
Defense Elo	1482	1536.4
Last 5 Elo change	-21.5	+24.6

The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Alberes Argelès last-5 Elo change: -21.5; Colomiers last-5 Elo change: +24.6.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Alberes Argelès	Colomiers
Played	5	5
Form	27%	73%
Attack	50%	90%
Defense	10%	50%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	5 \| 1	9 \| 1.8
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	9 \| 1.8	5 \| 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%

FT probability

2.5+

61%

FT probability

3.5+

43%

FT probability

BTTS

73%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Alberes Argelès			Colomiers
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	11	9	20	12	10	22
Wins	27%	22%	25%	67%	50%	59%
Draws	18%	22%	20%	33%	30%	32%
Loses	55%	56%	55%	0%	20%	9%

Alberes ArgelèsLLDDDLLWWLLWLWLLDLWL

ColomiersWDWWDDWWLWLWWDDWWDDWWW

League goals

Metric	Alberes Argelès			Colomiers
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	13	7	20	21	21	42
GF avg	1.2	0.8	1.0	1.8	2.1	1.9
GA total	17	12	29	10	17	27
GA avg	1.5	1.3	1.5	0.8	1.7	1.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Alberes Argelès		Colomiers
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	55%	75%	95%	68%
1.5	35%	55%	68%	36%
2.5	10%	15%	23%	14%
3.5	0%	0%	5%	5%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Alberes Argelès			Colomiers
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	3	2	5	5	2	7
Failed to score	4	5	9	1	0	1

Penalties

Metric	Alberes Argelès	Colomiers
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Alberes Argelès	Colomiers
Wins	2	2
Draws	3	2
Losses	2	1

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	2-0	1-3	3-0	0-2
Biggest losses	0-3	3-0	—	3-1
Goals For	3	3	3	4
Goals Against	3	3	2	4

Model comparison

Metric	Alberes Argelès	Colomiers
Form	27%	73%
Att	36%	64%
Def	36%	64%
Poisson Distribution	37%	63%
H2h	29%	71%
Goals	33%	67%
Total	33.0%	67.0%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Alberes Argelès vs Colomiers

Metric	Alberes Argelès	Colomiers
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Alberes Argelès vs Colomiers