Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 17:00 •
Stade Jean Léveillé
Expected Goals
1.52 (league 1.31)
0.21 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 71.0% | 23.8% | 4.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
27.0%
2 - 0
20.5%
0 - 0
17.7%
Score & goals probability table
| St-Philbert Gd Lieu | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Challans | 0 | 17.7% | 3.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 27.0% | 5.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 20.5% | 4.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.4% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Challans | St-Philbert Gd Lieu |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 40% |
| Attack | 88% | 75% |
| Defense | 75% | 13% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Challans | St-Philbert Gd Lieu | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| Wins | 60% | 67% | 64% | 14% | 60% | 33% |
| Draws | 40% | 33% | 36% | 29% | 0% | 17% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 57% | 40% | 50% |
Form: Challans: DWWWWDDWWDW • St-Philbert Gd Lieu: DDWLWLLLWLLW
League goals
| Metric | Challans | St-Philbert Gd Lieu | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 11 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 1 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 19 |
| GA avg | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Challans | St-Philbert Gd Lieu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 91% | 55% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 55% | 9% | 33% | 42% |
| 2.5 | 36% | 0% | 8% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Challans | St-Philbert Gd Lieu | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Challans | St-Philbert Gd Lieu |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Challans | St-Philbert Gd Lieu |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-3 | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Challans | St-Philbert Gd Lieu |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 65% | 35% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 78% | 22% |
| Poisson Distribution | 89% | 11% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 66.0% | 34.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Challans or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Challans = 1.52 (league 1.31), St-Philbert Gd Lieu = 0.21 (league 1.15)
| St-Philbert Gd Lieu | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Challans | 0 | 17.7% | 3.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 27.0% | 5.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 20.5% | 4.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.4% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.0% · Draw 23.8% · Away win 4.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1