Sat, Mar 28 2026 • 17:00 • Stade Emmanuel Murzeau
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.79 (league 1.33) 1.63 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.0% 22.5% 34.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.6%
2 - 1
8.5%
1 - 2
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Châteauroux II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vendée Fontenay 0 3.3% 5.4% 4.4% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%
1 5.9% 9.6% 7.8% 4.2% 1.7% 0.6%
2 5.2% 8.5% 7.0% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5%
3 3.1% 5.1% 4.1% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.4% 2.3% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVendée FontenayChâteauroux II
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack40%90%
Defense30%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vendée Fontenay Châteauroux II
HATHAT
Played10102010919
Wins40%30%35%30%33%32%
Draws30%20%25%30%11%21%
Loses30%50%40%40%56%47%

Form: Vendée Fontenay: DLWWWLWWLLLDDDLWWLLD • Châteauroux II: DLLWLLWDWWLLLDWWLDL

League goals

Metric Vendée Fontenay Châteauroux II
HATHAT
GF total17825181129
GF avg1.70.81.31.81.21.5
GA total151429161329
GA avg1.51.41.51.61.41.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVendée FontenayChâteauroux II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%65%74%74%
1.535%45%42%53%
2.520%20%21%21%
3.55%15%11%5%
4.50%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVendée FontenayChâteauroux II
HATHAT
Clean sheets347325
Failed to score257325

Penalties

MetricVendée FontenayChâteauroux II
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricVendée FontenayChâteauroux II
Wins32
Draws31
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-25-10-3
Biggest losses0-44-02-43-1
Goals For4353
Goals Against4443

Model comparison

MetricVendée FontenayChâteauroux II
Form50%50%
Att31%69%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total45.5%54.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Châteauroux II

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Vendée Fontenay = 1.79 (league 1.33), Châteauroux II = 1.63 (league 1.10)

Châteauroux II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vendée Fontenay 0 3.3% 5.4% 4.4% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%
1 5.9% 9.6% 7.8% 4.2% 1.7% 0.6%
2 5.2% 8.5% 7.0% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5%
3 3.1% 5.1% 4.1% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.4% 2.3% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.0% · Draw 22.5% · Away win 34.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1