USSA Vertou vs Châteauroux II

National 3 - Group B — France

Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 16:00 • Stade des Échalonnières

Not Started

USSA Vertou

—

Châteauroux II

Expected Goals

0.84 (league 1.33) 1.27 (league 1.13)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
24.7%	29.0%	46.1%

best score tips

0 - 1

15.4%

1 - 1

12.9%

0 - 0

12.1%

Score & goals probability table

		Châteauroux II
		0	1	2	3	4	5
USSA Vertou	0	12.1%	15.4%	9.7%	4.1%	1.3%	0.3%
	1	10.2%	12.9%	8.2%	3.5%	1.1%	0.3%
	2	4.3%	5.5%	3.5%	1.5%	0.5%	0.1%
	3	1.2%	1.5%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
	4	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: USSA Vertou -16.1, Châteauroux II -10.2.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone

USSA Vertou Elo 1458.4 · -16.1

Châteauroux II Elo 1498.1 · -10.2

Elo gapChâteauroux II +5

Home / draw / away35% / 29% / 36%

Expected home share49%

Combined Elo2956.5

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook

Confidence band Thin confidence

Upset risk High

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 2956.5

Elo home share 49%

Match tone Good Watch

Metric	USSA Vertou	Châteauroux II
Overall Elo	1458.4	1498.1
Form Elo	1449	1494.3
Home / Away Elo	1471	1485.4
Attack Elo	1454.8	1493.8
Defense Elo	1513.7	1548.9
Last 5 Elo change	-16.1	-10.2

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. USSA Vertou last-5 Elo change: -16.1; Châteauroux II last-5 Elo change: -10.2.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	USSA Vertou	Châteauroux II
Played	5	5
Form	27%	33%
Attack	36%	18%
Defense	45%	64%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	4 \| 0.8	2 \| 0.4
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	6 \| 1.2	4 \| 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%

FT probability

2.5+

50%

FT probability

3.5+

36%

FT probability

BTTS

70%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	USSA Vertou			Châteauroux II
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	11	12	23	11	11	22
Wins	18%	42%	30%	27%	36%	32%
Draws	27%	33%	30%	36%	9%	23%
Loses	55%	25%	39%	36%	55%	45%

USSA VertouLDLWDWDDDDLWWLLWLWLLWLD

Châteauroux IIDLLWLLWDWWLLLDWWLDLWDL

League goals

Metric	USSA Vertou			Châteauroux II
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	9	21	30	18	12	30
GF avg	0.8	1.8	1.3	1.6	1.1	1.4
GA total	14	17	31	16	15	31
GA avg	1.3	1.4	1.3	1.5	1.4	1.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	USSA Vertou		Châteauroux II
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	74%	91%	68%	68%
1.5	35%	35%	36%	50%
2.5	13%	4%	18%	18%
3.5	9%	4%	9%	5%
4.5	0%	0%	5%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	USSA Vertou			Châteauroux II
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	1	1	2	4	3	7
Failed to score	4	2	6	4	3	7

Penalties

Metric	USSA Vertou	Châteauroux II
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	USSA Vertou	Châteauroux II
Wins	2	2
Draws	4	1
Losses	2	3

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	2-0	1-4	5-1	0-3
Biggest losses	0-2	4-2	2-4	3-1
Goals For	2	4	5	3
Goals Against	2	4	4	3

Model comparison

Metric	USSA Vertou	Châteauroux II
Form	44%	56%
Att	67%	33%
Def	40%	60%
Poisson Distribution	42%	58%
H2h	100%	0%
Goals	67%	33%
Total	52.0%	48.0%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • USSA Vertou vs Châteauroux II

Metric	USSA Vertou	Châteauroux II
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0