Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 13:00 •
Stade de Morpiènas
Expected Goals
2.03 (league 1.33)
0.71 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 66.6% | 19.7% | 12.0% |
best score tips
2 - 0
13.3%
1 - 0
13.1%
2 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Châtellerault | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Panazol | 0 | 6.5% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.1% | 9.3% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.3% | 9.4% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.0% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Panazol carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 120 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Panazol +5.8, Châtellerault +15.5.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Panazol
vs
Châtellerault
Elo gapPanazol +120
Home / draw / away55% / 18% / 27%
Expected home share67%
Combined Elo2937.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2937.1
Elo home share
67%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Panazol | Châtellerault |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1510.9 | 1426.2 |
| Form Elo | 1506.6 | 1418.8 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1524.7 | 1495.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1504.8 | 1440 |
| Defense Elo | 1557 | 1414.7 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +5.8 | +15.5 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Panazol last-5 Elo change: +5.8; Châtellerault last-5 Elo change: +15.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Panazol | Châtellerault |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 47% |
| Attack | 55% | 36% |
| Defense | 55% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
73%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Panazol | Châtellerault | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 12 | 10 | 22 |
| Wins | 55% | 25% | 39% | 17% | 10% | 14% |
| Draws | 18% | 17% | 17% | 25% | 30% | 27% |
| Loses | 27% | 58% | 43% | 58% | 60% | 59% |
PanazolWDWWLWDLLLWDLWLLLDWWLWL
ChâtelleraultDWLLLLDDLLDLLLLLDLDWLW
League goals
| Metric | Panazol | Châtellerault | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 13 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 11 | 16 | 27 | 22 | 18 | 40 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Panazol | Châtellerault | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 70% | 59% | 91% |
| 1.5 | 26% | 39% | 14% | 41% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 9% | 5% | 36% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Panazol | Châtellerault | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Panazol | Châtellerault |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Panazol | Châtellerault |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-4 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Panazol | Châtellerault |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 75% | 25% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 57.7% | 42.5% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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