Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 16:00 •
Stade Centre Formation EAG 1
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.20)
3.36 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 5.6% | 9.8% | 72.2% |
best score tips
0 - 3
9.6%
0 - 2
8.5%
0 - 4
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Alençon | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guingamp II | 0 | 1.5% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 5.4% |
| 1 | 1.3% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Guingamp II | Alençon |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 25% | 58% |
| Attack | 27% | 67% |
| Defense | 47% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 10 | 2.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 2 | 10 | 2.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
73%
FT probability
3.5+
52%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Guingamp II | Alençon | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Loses | 50% | 100% | 75% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
Form: Guingamp II: LLWL • Alençon: DWWL
League goals
| Metric | Guingamp II | Alençon | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| GA total | 3 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Guingamp II | Alençon | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 75% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Guingamp II | Alençon | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Guingamp II | Alençon |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Guingamp II | Alençon |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | 3-2 | 3-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-2 | 2-4 | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Guingamp II | Alençon |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 30% | 70% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 20% | 80% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 33.8% | 66.3% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Alençon and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Guingamp II = 0.83 (league 1.20), Alençon = 3.36 (league 1.12)
| Alençon | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guingamp II | 0 | 1.5% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 5.4% |
| 1 | 1.3% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.6% · Draw 9.8% · Away win 72.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1