Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 16:00 •
Stade Municipal
Expected Goals
3.33 (league 1.20)
1.79 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 55.5% | 14.6% | 17.0% |
best score tips
3 - 1
6.6%
2 - 1
5.9%
3 - 2
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Alençon | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Cesson | 0 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 3.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Cesson | Alençon |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 47% |
| Attack | 36% | 79% |
| Defense | 71% | 14% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
67%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
85%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Cesson | Alençon | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Wins | 100% | 33% | 60% | 50% | 33% | 40% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 20% | 0% | 33% | 20% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 20% | 50% | 33% | 40% |
Form: Cesson: DWWWL • Alençon: DWWLL
League goals
| Metric | Cesson | Alençon | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| GA total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Cesson | Alençon | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 60% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 20% | 60% | 80% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 40% | 40% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 20% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Cesson | Alençon | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Cesson | Alençon |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Cesson | Alençon |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-1 | 3-2 | 3-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 2-4 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Cesson | Alençon |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 31% | 69% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 65% | 35% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 57.5% | 42.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Cesson or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Cesson = 3.33 (league 1.20), Alençon = 1.79 (league 1.12)
| Alençon | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Cesson | 0 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 3.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.5% · Draw 14.6% · Away win 17.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1