Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 17:00 •
Stade Jacques-Fould
Expected Goals
4.85 (league 1.19)
3.41 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.5% | 11.1% | 15.3% |
best score tips
4 - 3
3.9%
5 - 3
3.8%
4 - 2
3.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Ergué-Gaberic | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Alençon | 0 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Alençon | Ergué-Gaberic |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 7% |
| Attack | 73% | 27% |
| Defense | 20% | 13% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
61%
FT probability
BTTS
88%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Alençon | Ergué-Gaberic | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Wins | 50% | 33% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 20% | 0% | 33% | 20% |
| Loses | 50% | 33% | 40% | 100% | 67% | 80% |
Form: Alençon: DWWLL • Ergué-Gaberic: LLLLD
League goals
| Metric | Alençon | Ergué-Gaberic | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 6 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| GA avg | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 2.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Alençon | Ergué-Gaberic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 40% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 60% | 80% | 20% | 80% |
| 2.5 | 40% | 40% | 20% | 40% |
| 3.5 | 20% | 20% | 0% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Alençon | Ergué-Gaberic | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Alençon | Ergué-Gaberic |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Alençon | Ergué-Gaberic |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 3-4 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 2-1 | 0-5 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Alençon | Ergué-Gaberic |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 88% | 13% |
| Att | 73% | 27% |
| Def | 52% | 48% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 68.0% | 32.3% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Alençon and +2.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Alençon = 4.85 (league 1.19), Ergué-Gaberic = 3.41 (league 1.14)
| Ergué-Gaberic | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Alençon | 0 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.5% · Draw 11.1% · Away win 15.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1